Gent vs Crvena Zvezda: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
GentLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
Crvena ZvezdaLeague phase not started yet
44%Gent win
26%Draw
30%Crvena Zvezda win
The model gives Gent a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Crvena Zvezda 30%. Gent's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 67%. Crvena Zvezda's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 80%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Gent: top 8 | Gent: through | Crvena Zvezda: top 8 | Crvena Zvezda: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 82% | 35% | 88% |
| Gent win | 43% | 93% | 21% | 80% |
| Draw | 20% | 79% | 32% | 89% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | 12% | 67% | 58% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente