Inter Escaldes vs Copenhagen: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
Inter EscaldesLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
CopenhagenLeague phase not started yet
14%Inter Escaldes win
20%Draw
66%Copenhagen win
The model gives Inter Escaldes a 14% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Copenhagen 66%. Inter Escaldes's chance of going through is 12% now: a win would take it to 35%, a defeat to 7%. Copenhagen's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Inter Escaldes: top 8 | Inter Escaldes: through | Copenhagen: top 8 | Copenhagen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 12% | 44% | 91% |
| Inter Escaldes win | 2% | 35% | 19% | 76% |
| Draw | <1% | 14% | 27% | 86% |
| Copenhagen win | <1% | 7% | 54% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente