Kairat Almaty vs Mjällby: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 16:30
Kairat AlmatyLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
MjällbyLeague phase not started yet
38%Kairat Almaty win
26%Draw
35%Mjällby win
The model gives Kairat Almaty a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Mjällby 35%. Kairat Almaty's chance of going through is 43% now: a win would take it to 64%, a defeat to 24%. Mjällby's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 65%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Kairat Almaty: top 8 | Kairat Almaty: through | Mjällby: top 8 | Mjällby: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 43% | 21% | 79% |
| Kairat Almaty win | 9% | 64% | 8% | 65% |
| Draw | 2% | 38% | 15% | 78% |
| Mjällby win | 1% | 24% | 38% | 93% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente