Braga vs KuPS Kuopio: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
BragaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
KuPS KuopioLeague phase not started yet
67%Braga win
20%Draw
14%KuPS Kuopio win
The model gives Braga a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and KuPS Kuopio 14%. Braga's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 75%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 77%, a defeat to 39%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Braga: top 8 | Braga: through | KuPS Kuopio: top 8 | KuPS Kuopio: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 91% | 6% | 47% |
| Braga win | 52% | 96% | 3% | 39% |
| Draw | 27% | 86% | 6% | 55% |
| KuPS Kuopio win | 17% | 75% | 19% | 77% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Freiburg – Twente