Hajduk Split vs Sint-Truidense: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
Hajduk SplitLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
Sint-TruidenseLeague phase not started yet
44%Hajduk Split win
26%Draw
30%Sint-Truidense win
The model gives Hajduk Split a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sint-Truidense 30%. Hajduk Split's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 53%. Sint-Truidense's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 53%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hajduk Split: top 8 | Hajduk Split: through | Sint-Truidense: top 8 | Sint-Truidense: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 17% | 71% | 13% | 67% |
| Hajduk Split win | 27% | 86% | 6% | 53% |
| Draw | 11% | 67% | 10% | 67% |
| Sint-Truidense win | 6% | 53% | 27% | 88% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente