Iberia Tbilisi vs Getafe: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
Iberia TbilisiLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
GetafeLeague phase not started yet
17%Iberia Tbilisi win
22%Draw
61%Getafe win
The model gives Iberia Tbilisi a 17% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Getafe 61%. Iberia Tbilisi's chance of going through is 25% now: a win would take it to 53%, a defeat to 17%. Getafe's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 78%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Iberia Tbilisi: top 8 | Iberia Tbilisi: through | Getafe: top 8 | Getafe: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 25% | 42% | 91% |
| Iberia Tbilisi win | 6% | 53% | 18% | 78% |
| Draw | 1% | 28% | 28% | 87% |
| Getafe win | 1% | 17% | 54% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente