Pafos vs Riga FC: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
PafosLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
Riga FCLeague phase not started yet
53%Pafos win
24%Draw
23%Riga FC win
The model gives Pafos a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Riga FC 23%. Pafos's chance of going through is 55% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 31%. Riga FC's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 40%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Pafos: top 8 | Pafos: through | Riga FC: top 8 | Riga FC: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 55% | 7% | 53% |
| Pafos win | 13% | 71% | 3% | 40% |
| Draw | 4% | 45% | 6% | 56% |
| Riga FC win | 2% | 31% | 19% | 80% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent