Getafe vs Lugano: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
GetafeLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
LuganoLeague phase not started yet
58%Getafe win
23%Draw
19%Lugano win
The model gives Getafe a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Lugano 19%. Getafe's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 78%. Lugano's chance of going through is 65% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 56%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Getafe: top 8 | Getafe: through | Lugano: top 8 | Lugano: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 91% | 13% | 65% |
| Getafe win | 55% | 97% | 7% | 56% |
| Draw | 28% | 88% | 14% | 69% |
| Lugano win | 17% | 78% | 31% | 89% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent