Knockout Math
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Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45

Kauno ŽalgirisLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
BrannLeague phase not started yet
33%Kauno Žalgiris win
26%Draw
41%Brann win

The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Brann 41%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 23%. Brann's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 58%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Kauno Žalgiris: top 8Kauno Žalgiris: throughBrann: top 8Brann: through
Now4%40%19%75%
Kauno Žalgiris win9%63%7%58%
Draw2%36%13%72%
Brann win1%23%32%90%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%

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