Knockout Math
Latviski

Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00

MidtjyllandLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
Sint-TruidenseLeague phase not started yet
55%Midtjylland win
24%Draw
21%Sint-Truidense win

The model gives Midtjylland a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Sint-Truidense 21%. Midtjylland's chance of going through is 92% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. Sint-Truidense's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 57%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Midtjylland: top 8Midtjylland: throughSint-Truidense: top 8Sint-Truidense: through
Now47%92%13%67%
Midtjylland win61%97%7%57%
Draw35%90%13%71%
Sint-Truidense win24%82%32%89%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

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