Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
NordsjællandLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
CSKA SofiaLeague phase not started yet
51%Nordsjælland win
25%Draw
24%CSKA Sofia win
The model gives Nordsjælland a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and CSKA Sofia 24%. Nordsjælland's chance of going through is 72% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 50%. CSKA Sofia's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 40%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Nordsjælland: top 8 | Nordsjælland: through | CSKA Sofia: top 8 | CSKA Sofia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 17% | 72% | 8% | 53% |
| Nordsjælland win | 26% | 85% | 3% | 40% |
| Draw | 9% | 64% | 6% | 55% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 5% | 50% | 18% | 79% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent