Monaco vs Freiburg: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
MonacoLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
FreiburgLeague phase not started yet
44%Monaco win
26%Draw
30%Freiburg win
The model gives Monaco a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Freiburg 30%. Monaco's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 89%. Freiburg's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Monaco: top 8 | Monaco: through | Freiburg: top 8 | Freiburg: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 52% | 95% | 51% | 94% |
| Monaco win | 71% | 99% | 36% | 90% |
| Draw | 44% | 95% | 50% | 95% |
| Freiburg win | 30% | 89% | 75% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent