Jablonec vs Brighton: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
JablonecLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
BrightonLeague phase not started yet
17%Jablonec win
22%Draw
61%Brighton win
The model gives Jablonec a 17% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Brighton 61%. Jablonec's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 40%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Jablonec: top 8 | Jablonec: through | Brighton: top 8 | Brighton: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 50% | 58% | 96% |
| Jablonec win | 19% | 79% | 31% | 88% |
| Draw | 5% | 55% | 46% | 94% |
| Brighton win | 3% | 40% | 71% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent