Knockout Math
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Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 16:30

Kairat AlmatyLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
PanathinaikosLeague phase not started yet
31%Kairat Almaty win
26%Draw
43%Panathinaikos win

The model gives Kairat Almaty a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Panathinaikos 43%. Kairat Almaty's chance of going through is 43% now: a win would take it to 67%, a defeat to 27%. Panathinaikos's chance of going through is 74% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 56%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Kairat Almaty: top 8Kairat Almaty: throughPanathinaikos: top 8Panathinaikos: through
Now4%43%18%74%
Kairat Almaty win10%67%7%56%
Draw3%41%12%71%
Panathinaikos win1%27%30%90%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%

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