Knockout Math
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Inter Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45

Inter EscaldesLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
Universitatea CraiovaLeague phase not started yet
23%Inter Escaldes win
25%Draw
52%Universitatea Craiova win

The model gives Inter Escaldes a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Universitatea Craiova 52%. Inter Escaldes's chance of going through is 12% now: a win would take it to 29%, a defeat to 5%. Universitatea Craiova's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 43%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Inter Escaldes: top 8Inter Escaldes: throughUniversitatea Craiova: top 8Universitatea Craiova: through
Now<1%12%13%66%
Inter Escaldes win2%29%3%43%
Draw<1%12%6%56%
Universitatea Craiova win<1%5%20%81%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

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