Aarhus vs Egnatia: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
AarhusLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
EgnatiaLeague phase not started yet
64%Aarhus win
21%Draw
15%Egnatia win
The model gives Aarhus a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Egnatia 15%. Aarhus's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 54%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 30%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Aarhus: top 8 | Aarhus: through | Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 24% | 79% | 4% | 40% |
| Aarhus win | 31% | 88% | 1% | 30% |
| Draw | 12% | 69% | 4% | 47% |
| Egnatia win | 7% | 54% | 13% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent