Iberia Tbilisi vs Crvena Zvezda: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Iberia TbilisiLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
Crvena ZvezdaLeague phase not started yet
21%Iberia Tbilisi win
24%Draw
55%Crvena Zvezda win
The model gives Iberia Tbilisi a 21% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Crvena Zvezda 55%. Iberia Tbilisi's chance of going through is 25% now: a win would take it to 52%, a defeat to 15%. Crvena Zvezda's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 72%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Iberia Tbilisi: top 8 | Iberia Tbilisi: through | Crvena Zvezda: top 8 | Crvena Zvezda: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 25% | 35% | 88% |
| Iberia Tbilisi win | 6% | 52% | 14% | 72% |
| Draw | 1% | 26% | 24% | 84% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | <1% | 15% | 48% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos