Thun vs Gent: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
ThunLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
GentLeague phase not started yet
31%Thun win
26%Draw
43%Gent win
The model gives Thun a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Gent 43%. Thun's chance of going through is 48% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 32%. Gent's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 68%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Thun: top 8 | Thun: through | Gent: top 8 | Gent: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 48% | 28% | 82% |
| Thun win | 14% | 72% | 12% | 68% |
| Draw | 4% | 46% | 20% | 80% |
| Gent win | 2% | 32% | 43% | 93% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos