Brighton vs Monaco: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
BrightonLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
MonacoLeague phase not started yet
47%Brighton win
26%Draw
28%Monaco win
The model gives Brighton a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Monaco 28%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 91%. Monaco's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 92%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Brighton: top 8 | Brighton: through | Monaco: top 8 | Monaco: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 58% | 96% | 52% | 95% |
| Brighton win | 75% | 99% | 37% | 92% |
| Draw | 51% | 96% | 52% | 96% |
| Monaco win | 36% | 91% | 76% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos