Hajduk Split vs Nordsjælland: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Hajduk SplitLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
NordsjællandLeague phase not started yet
41%Hajduk Split win
26%Draw
33%Nordsjælland win
The model gives Hajduk Split a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Nordsjælland 33%. Hajduk Split's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 54%. Nordsjælland's chance of going through is 72% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 57%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hajduk Split: top 8 | Hajduk Split: through | Nordsjælland: top 8 | Nordsjælland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 17% | 71% | 17% | 72% |
| Hajduk Split win | 29% | 87% | 7% | 57% |
| Draw | 11% | 68% | 13% | 72% |
| Nordsjælland win | 6% | 54% | 32% | 89% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos