Trabzonspor vs Jablonec: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
TrabzonsporLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
JablonecLeague phase not started yet
57%Trabzonspor win
23%Draw
20%Jablonec win
The model gives Trabzonspor a 57% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Jablonec 20%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 58%. Jablonec's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 39%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Trabzonspor: top 8 | Trabzonspor: through | Jablonec: top 8 | Jablonec: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 24% | 79% | 6% | 50% |
| Trabzonspor win | 33% | 89% | 2% | 39% |
| Draw | 14% | 72% | 5% | 54% |
| Jablonec win | 9% | 58% | 18% | 79% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos