Brann vs Braga: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
BrannLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
BragaLeague phase not started yet
31%Brann win
26%Draw
43%Braga win
The model gives Brann a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Braga 43%. Brann's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 63%. Braga's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Brann: top 8 | Brann: through | Braga: top 8 | Braga: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 19% | 75% | 42% | 91% |
| Brann win | 37% | 92% | 22% | 82% |
| Draw | 15% | 74% | 35% | 90% |
| Braga win | 8% | 63% | 61% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos