Egnatia vs Kauno Žalgiris: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
EgnatiaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
Kauno ŽalgirisLeague phase not started yet
38%Egnatia win
26%Draw
35%Kauno Žalgiris win
The model gives Egnatia a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Kauno Žalgiris 35%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 21%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 22%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | Kauno Žalgiris: top 8 | Kauno Žalgiris: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 40% | 4% | 40% |
| Egnatia win | 8% | 63% | 1% | 22% |
| Draw | 2% | 34% | 2% | 36% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 1% | 21% | 8% | 63% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Mjällby – Pafos