Kairat Almaty vs Universitatea Craiova: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 16:30
Kairat AlmatyLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
Universitatea CraiovaLeague phase not started yet
38%Kairat Almaty win
26%Draw
35%Universitatea Craiova win
The model gives Kairat Almaty a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Universitatea Craiova 35%. Kairat Almaty's chance of going through is 43% now: a win would take it to 64%, a defeat to 24%. Universitatea Craiova's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 49%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Kairat Almaty: top 8 | Kairat Almaty: through | Universitatea Craiova: top 8 | Universitatea Craiova: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 43% | 13% | 66% |
| Kairat Almaty win | 9% | 64% | 5% | 49% |
| Draw | 2% | 37% | 8% | 64% |
| Universitatea Craiova win | 1% | 24% | 25% | 86% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos