Hearts vs Borac: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
HeartsLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
BoracLeague phase not started yet
58%Hearts win
23%Draw
19%Borac win
The model gives Hearts a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Borac 19%. Hearts's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 41%. Borac's chance of going through is 35% now: a win would take it to 65%, a defeat to 24%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hearts: top 8 | Hearts: through | Borac: top 8 | Borac: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 67% | 3% | 35% |
| Hearts win | 20% | 80% | 1% | 24% |
| Draw | 7% | 56% | 2% | 39% |
| Borac win | 4% | 41% | 9% | 65% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos