KuPS Kuopio vs CSKA Sofia: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
KuPS KuopioLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
CSKA SofiaLeague phase not started yet
40%KuPS Kuopio win
26%Draw
34%CSKA Sofia win
The model gives KuPS Kuopio a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and CSKA Sofia 34%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 28%. CSKA Sofia's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 36%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| KuPS Kuopio: top 8 | KuPS Kuopio: through | CSKA Sofia: top 8 | CSKA Sofia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 47% | 8% | 53% |
| KuPS Kuopio win | 11% | 68% | 2% | 36% |
| Draw | 3% | 42% | 5% | 49% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 1% | 28% | 16% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
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- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos