Freiburg vs Panathinaikos: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
FreiburgLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
PanathinaikosLeague phase not started yet
61%Freiburg win
22%Draw
17%Panathinaikos win
The model gives Freiburg a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Panathinaikos 17%. Freiburg's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 84%. Panathinaikos's chance of going through is 74% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 68%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Freiburg: top 8 | Freiburg: through | Panathinaikos: top 8 | Panathinaikos: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 51% | 94% | 18% | 74% |
| Freiburg win | 64% | 98% | 11% | 68% |
| Draw | 37% | 91% | 20% | 79% |
| Panathinaikos win | 25% | 84% | 43% | 93% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos