Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Jagiellonia21st, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
23%Jagiellonia win
25%Draw
52%Crystal Palace win
The model gives Jagiellonia a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Crystal Palace 52%. Jagiellonia's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 66%, a defeat to 29%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Jagiellonia: top 8 | Jagiellonia: through | Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 41% | 45% | 94% |
| Jagiellonia win | 9% | 66% | 26% | 86% |
| Draw | 3% | 41% | 35% | 92% |
| Crystal Palace win | 1% | 29% | 59% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete