Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Anderlecht23rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Hoffenheim29th, 0 pts
33%Anderlecht win
26%Draw
41%Hoffenheim win
The model gives Anderlecht a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Hoffenheim 41%. Anderlecht's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 35%. Hoffenheim's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 56%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Anderlecht: top 8 | Anderlecht: through | Hoffenheim: top 8 | Hoffenheim: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5% | 50% | 14% | 71% |
| Anderlecht win | 11% | 72% | 5% | 56% |
| Draw | 3% | 47% | 10% | 68% |
| Hoffenheim win | 2% | 35% | 23% | 86% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete