Levski Sofia vs Lillestrøm: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Levski Sofia27th, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Lillestrøm24th, 0 pts
45%Levski Sofia win
26%Draw
29%Lillestrøm win
The model gives Levski Sofia a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lillestrøm 29%. Levski Sofia's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 8%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 15% now: a win would take it to 30%, a defeat to 7%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Levski Sofia: top 8 | Levski Sofia: through | Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 21% | <1% | 15% |
| Levski Sofia win | 1% | 33% | <1% | 7% |
| Draw | <1% | 13% | <1% | 12% |
| Lillestrøm win | <1% | 8% | 1% | 30% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete