Hapoel Beer-Sheva vs Juventus: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Hapoel Beer-Sheva18th, 1 pts
–Matchday 6
Juventus1st, 3 pts
15%Hapoel Beer-Sheva win
21%Draw
65%Juventus win
The model gives Hapoel Beer-Sheva a 15% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Juventus 65%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 54%, a defeat to 20%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 27% | 81% | 99% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 5% | 54% | 60% | 98% |
| Draw | 1% | 31% | 73% | 99% |
| Juventus win | <1% | 20% | 88% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete