Bournemouth vs Viktoria Plzeň: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Bournemouth12th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
58%Bournemouth win
23%Draw
19%Viktoria Plzeň win
The model gives Bournemouth a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Viktoria Plzeň 19%. Bournemouth's chance of going through is 97% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 91%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 40%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Bournemouth: top 8 | Bournemouth: through | Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 57% | 97% | 4% | 49% |
| Bournemouth win | 69% | 99% | 2% | 40% |
| Draw | 46% | 95% | 4% | 53% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 34% | 91% | 13% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete