Real Sociedad vs Torreense: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Real Sociedad22nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Torreense11th, 3 pts
69%Real Sociedad win
19%Draw
12%Torreense win
The model gives Real Sociedad a 69% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Torreense 12%. Real Sociedad's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 45%. Torreense's chance of going through is 60% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 53%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Real Sociedad: top 8 | Real Sociedad: through | Torreense: top 8 | Torreense: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12% | 71% | 7% | 60% |
| Real Sociedad win | 16% | 79% | 4% | 53% |
| Draw | 5% | 56% | 9% | 68% |
| Torreense win | 2% | 45% | 20% | 88% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Benfica – OFI Crete