Omonia vs Celtic: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Omonia15th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Celtic28th, 0 pts
29%Omonia win
26%Draw
45%Celtic win
The model gives Omonia a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Celtic 45%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 30%. Celtic's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 32%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 46% | 6% | 52% |
| Omonia win | 8% | 71% | 1% | 32% |
| Draw | 2% | 44% | 3% | 46% |
| Celtic win | 1% | 30% | 10% | 69% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete