Beşiktaş vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
Beşiktaş4th, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Hapoel Beer-Sheva18th, 1 pts
58%Beşiktaş win
23%Draw
19%Hapoel Beer-Sheva win
The model gives Beşiktaş a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Hapoel Beer-Sheva 19%. Beşiktaş's chance of going through is 85% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 68%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 53%, a defeat to 18%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Beşiktaş: top 8 | Beşiktaş: through | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 25% | 85% | 1% | 27% |
| Beşiktaş win | 34% | 94% | <1% | 18% |
| Draw | 16% | 79% | 1% | 29% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 10% | 68% | 4% | 53% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz