Ferencváros vs Celje: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
Ferencváros6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Celje31st, 0 pts
55%Ferencváros win
24%Draw
21%Celje win
The model gives Ferencváros a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Celje 21%. Ferencváros's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 64%. Celje's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 65%, a defeat to 29%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ferencváros: top 8 | Ferencváros: through | Celje: top 8 | Celje: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 20% | 83% | 3% | 40% |
| Ferencváros win | 29% | 92% | 1% | 29% |
| Draw | 13% | 76% | 2% | 41% |
| Celje win | 6% | 64% | 9% | 65% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz