Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Benfica7th, 3 pts
25%Viktoria Plzeň win
25%Draw
51%Benfica win
The model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 25% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Benfica 51%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 38%. Benfica's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 99%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | Benfica: top 8 | Benfica: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% | 82% | 99% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 12% | 72% | 66% | 99% |
| Draw | 3% | 50% | 78% | 99% |
| Benfica win | 2% | 38% | 91% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz