N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Rennes: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Rennes17th, 1 pts
34%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
26%Draw
39%Rennes win
The model gives N.E.C. Nijmegen a 34% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Rennes 39%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 48%. Rennes's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 71%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 63% | 23% | 83% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 18% | 81% | 9% | 71% |
| Draw | 6% | 61% | 17% | 82% |
| Rennes win | 3% | 48% | 38% | 94% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz