Juventus vs Omonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
Juventus1st, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Omonia15th, 3 pts
80%Juventus win
13%Draw
7%Omonia win
The model gives Juventus a 80% chance of winning, a draw 13% and Omonia 7%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 96%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 42%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 81% | 99% | 4% | 46% |
| Juventus win | 85% | >99% | 2% | 42% |
| Draw | 68% | 99% | 5% | 53% |
| Omonia win | 58% | 96% | 14% | 80% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz