Olympiacos vs Milan: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
Olympiacos13th, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Milan30th, 0 pts
31%Olympiacos win
26%Draw
43%Milan win
The model gives Olympiacos a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Milan 43%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. Milan's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | Milan: top 8 | Milan: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 91% | 46% | 95% |
| Olympiacos win | 58% | 98% | 25% | 90% |
| Draw | 34% | 91% | 39% | 94% |
| Milan win | 22% | 85% | 64% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz