Torreense vs Celtic: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
Torreense11th, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Celtic28th, 0 pts
27%Torreense win
25%Draw
48%Celtic win
The model gives Torreense a 27% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Celtic 48%. Torreense's chance of going through is 60% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 47%. Celtic's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 33%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Torreense: top 8 | Torreense: through | Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 60% | 6% | 52% |
| Torreense win | 16% | 83% | 1% | 33% |
| Draw | 5% | 61% | 3% | 44% |
| Celtic win | 3% | 47% | 10% | 68% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- OFI Crete – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz