OFI Crete vs Anderlecht: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Anderlecht23rd, 0 pts
32%OFI Crete win
26%Draw
42%Anderlecht win
The model gives OFI Crete a 32% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Anderlecht 42%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 33%. Anderlecht's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 32%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | Anderlecht: top 8 | Anderlecht: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% | 5% | 50% |
| OFI Crete win | 9% | 72% | 1% | 32% |
| Draw | 2% | 46% | 3% | 45% |
| Anderlecht win | 1% | 33% | 9% | 68% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–07%
2–17%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Ararat-Armenia
- Viktoria Plzeň – Benfica
- GNK Dinamo – Leverkusen
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Marseille – Levski Sofia
- Union SG – Lech Poznań
- Celta – Bournemouth
- Sparta Praha – AZ Alkmaar
- Crystal Palace – Real Sociedad
- Ferencváros – Celje
- Juventus – Omonia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Rennes
- Lyon – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Celtic
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia
- Hoffenheim – Sturm Graz