Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
Stuttgart7th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Atlético de Madrid25th, 0 pts
31%Stuttgart win
26%Draw
43%Atlético de Madrid win
The model gives Stuttgart a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Atlético de Madrid 43%. Stuttgart's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 81%. Atlético de Madrid's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 80%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Stuttgart: top 8 | Stuttgart: through | Atlético de Madrid: top 8 | Atlético de Madrid: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 20% | 88% | 22% | 89% |
| Stuttgart win | 37% | 97% | 8% | 80% |
| Draw | 18% | 88% | 16% | 88% |
| Atlético de Madrid win | 10% | 81% | 36% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK