Knockout Math
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Real Betis vs Feyenoord: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 21:00

Real Betis9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Feyenoord33rd, 0 pts
48%Real Betis win
25%Draw
26%Feyenoord win

The model gives Real Betis a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Feyenoord 26%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 65%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 35%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Real Betis: top 8Real Betis: throughFeyenoord: top 8Feyenoord: through
Now12%82%3%47%
Real Betis win20%93%1%35%
Draw7%78%2%47%
Feyenoord win4%65%7%70%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

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