Club Brugge vs Lens: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
Club Brugge23rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 3
Lens10th, 3 pts
44%Club Brugge win
26%Draw
30%Lens win
The model gives Club Brugge a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lens 30%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 36% now: a win would take it to 52%, a defeat to 18%. Lens's chance of going through is 76% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 64%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Club Brugge: top 8 | Club Brugge: through | Lens: top 8 | Lens: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 36% | 10% | 76% |
| Club Brugge win | 2% | 52% | 4% | 64% |
| Draw | <1% | 29% | 8% | 76% |
| Lens win | <1% | 18% | 19% | 91% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK