Como vs Manchester United: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 18:45
Como5th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Manchester United4th, 3 pts
36%Como win
26%Draw
38%Manchester United win
The model gives Como a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Manchester United 38%. Como's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 65%. Manchester United's chance of going through is 86% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Como: top 8 | Como: through | Manchester United: top 8 | Manchester United: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 10% | 78% | 19% | 86% |
| Como win | 19% | 92% | 9% | 76% |
| Draw | 8% | 77% | 15% | 86% |
| Manchester United win | 4% | 65% | 32% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK