N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Levski Sofia27th, 0 pts
55%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
24%Draw
21%Levski Sofia win
The model gives N.E.C. Nijmegen a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Levski Sofia 21%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 40%. Levski Sofia's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 42%, a defeat to 12%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | Levski Sofia: top 8 | Levski Sofia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 63% | 1% | 21% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 13% | 75% | <1% | 12% |
| Draw | 5% | 53% | 1% | 21% |
| Levski Sofia win | 2% | 40% | 2% | 42% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş