Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Sparta Praha3rd, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Lillestrøm24th, 0 pts
61%Sparta Praha win
22%Draw
17%Lillestrøm win
The model gives Sparta Praha a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Lillestrøm 17%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 63%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 15% now: a win would take it to 34%, a defeat to 10%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 83% | <1% | 15% |
| Sparta Praha win | 30% | 91% | <1% | 10% |
| Draw | 14% | 75% | <1% | 16% |
| Lillestrøm win | 8% | 63% | 2% | 34% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş