Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Ferencváros6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
44%Ferencváros win
26%Draw
30%Viktoria Plzeň win
The model gives Ferencváros a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Viktoria Plzeň 30%. Ferencváros's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 69%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 35%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ferencváros: top 8 | Ferencváros: through | Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 20% | 83% | 4% | 49% |
| Ferencváros win | 32% | 94% | 1% | 35% |
| Draw | 15% | 80% | 3% | 47% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 9% | 69% | 11% | 72% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş