Benfica vs Celtic: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Benfica7th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Celtic28th, 0 pts
61%Benfica win
22%Draw
17%Celtic win
The model gives Benfica a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Celtic 17%. Benfica's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. Celtic's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 76%, a defeat to 44%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Benfica: top 8 | Benfica: through | Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 82% | 99% | 6% | 52% |
| Benfica win | 90% | >99% | 3% | 44% |
| Draw | 74% | 99% | 6% | 56% |
| Celtic win | 63% | 98% | 17% | 76% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş